France is in political depression

A majority of French people say they are "dissatisfied" with François Hollande's action. A very poor result, which shows the extent of the crisis of political confidence in France.

For the first time a presidential election was not followed by a state of grace, and the new President is already confronted after 100 days with a mixed opinion of him. One can always discuss and debate whether he is at this or that level, whether it is justified or not, but in reality the question is not there. The issue is not 'personal'. What we are experiencing is a profound political crisis, a crisis of political confidence, which is no longer one of distrust or criticism but a great deal of scepticism, a difficulty in believing in it, in being convinced of the impact of political action, of its capacity to act on things, and above all on my daily life as a citizen, a consumer, an employee, a businessman, a civil servant, a pensioner, etc.

Remember the summer of 2012 and this attempt to control the price of petrol. The State lost money and credibility trying, alone in the world, to contain the price of a globalized good ... without touching the three quarters of taxes of the price component of which it is master. An unfortunate episode which is, moreover, only the chronicle of an announced impotence, as no one was fooled from the first intentions formulated on this matter of the price of petrol. The other recurrent episode concerns of course the negative evolution of the unemployment figures commented each month in a realistic and combative way, but also fatalistic and incantatory ("the curve will be reversed" ... yes, necessarily, sooner or later, and probably late).

These latest episodes are only the last carriage in a long train of worries and disillusionment. The French can clearly see how Europe is bogged down in the euro crisis and its succession of decisive last chance summits that only herald the next ones; a debt-ridden Greece whose bankruptcy has become as permanent as a chronic illness; the urgency of environmental issues and their series of sterile world conferences; the chronic over-indebtedness of states trapped in their addiction to public spending; etc.

These issues are increasingly exposed, covered by the media and even staged, but never come to a head. It is therefore not a 'personal' matter, but one that affects the credibility of political action. Nicolas Sarkozy in France and Barack Obama in the United States both embodied in 2007 and 2008 a new breath, a new hope, a political energy that seemed to resist nothing. Even if one must honestly give credit to certain aspects of their political action, the fact remains that 'even they' did not succeed in countering the situation. The result in France was a 2012 presidential election that was more about rejection than about a project, with no real enthusiasm, no real fervour, even when the results were announced after what was nevertheless a real political alternation.

Faced with this new power, which was undoubtedly elected without strong conviction, the opposition is atonic. The UMP is certainly looking for a leader, but this is the tree that hides the forest. The real challenge for the UMP is to find a project and to be audible in order to provide solutions to issues that it has not resolved in recent years. Faced with this political crisis, this political depression, all the actors are united and concerned.

As a result, the new political power now has all the power. All the power, but few cards. It is desperately looking for the green light card or the mile marker card to get rid of the series of obstacles that the ugly situation has put in its way, which hinders its credibility, its room for manoeuvre, its confidence and which inexorably nails it to its square. However, he will not be able to pass up his turn for 5 years, nor will he be able to wait for the luck of a good pick ... "ah that's it, the 2% growth card, I'm rolling"!

In the short term, we must of course wish, hope and force this boost from providence, which will no longer come from the state. But it is undoubtedly necessary, at the same time as explaining the current difficulties, to look to the future and build viable alternatives. For example, we need to talk about profound energy and technological change rather than an artificial and ephemeral drop in the price of petrol.

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